Engle-Granger 2 step, and 1 step, estimation procedures Cointegration in Single Equations: Cointegration - evidence of long-run or equilibrium relationships With cointegration the residuals from a regression are stationary. Tested informally and formally for cointegration Formal Tests include (1) Cointegrating Regression Durbin Watson (CRDW) test (2) Cointegrating Regression Dickey Fuller (CRDF) test Summary of Lecture (1) Introduce Granger Representation Theorem. - relates cointegration to Error Correction Models (2) Suggest different ways of estimating long run coefficients and short run models (3) Multivariate regressions and testing for cointegration. Cointegration: The usefulness of ECMs Error correction mechanisms are useful for representing the short run relationships between variables. Another way of saying we are not always at equilibrium . The error correction mod
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